Profile
Save
Username
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- October 26, 2020
Bio
Website
{{err}}
Metaculus Supporter
Supporter Since
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
Change your username
Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons
You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.
Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.
Forecaster Stats
Level
1 (Neophyte)
Predictions
0 predictions on 0 questions (0 resolved)
Comments
14 comments on 9 questions
Achievements
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
13219 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Series — Forecasting AI Progress (99)
- Economy – US – Economic Indicators (59)
- Series – Nuclear Threats (50)
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (50)
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (49)
Popular Questions
- What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by the end of 2021? (993 forecasts)
- When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the European Schengen Area? (829 forecasts)
- Will Scotland set a date for a new independence referendum in 2021? (666 forecasts)
- How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021? (610 forecasts)
- Will the S&P 500 experience a bear market (peak to trough decline of 20% or more) in 2021? (565 forecasts)