Profile
Save
Username
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- October 26, 2020
Bio
Website
{{err}}
{{"metaculusSupporterHeading" | translate}}
{{"supporterSinceHeading" | translate}}
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
{{"changeUsernameHeading" | translate}}
{{"tachyonsCost" | translate:({tachyons: user.username_change_cost})}}
{{"changeUsernameDescription" | translate}}
{{"changeUsernameDescriptionNewUser" | translate}}
Forecaster Stats
Level
1 (Neophyte)
Predictions
0 predictions on 0 questions (0 resolved)
Comments
14 comments on 9 questions
Achievements
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
14097 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Series — Forecasting AI Progress (99)
- Economy – US – Economic Indicators (59)
- Series – Nuclear Threats (50)
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (50)
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (49)
Popular Questions
- What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by the end of 2021? (993 forecasts)
- When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the European Schengen Area? (829 forecasts)
- Will Scotland set a date for a new independence referendum in 2021? (666 forecasts)
- How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021? (610 forecasts)
- Will the S&P 500 experience a bear market (peak to trough decline of 20% or more) in 2021? (565 forecasts)