119 comments
202 forecasters
Will any states flip from the current projected winner?
2%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 10, 2020
Closes:Nov 21, 2020
Resolved:Dec 21, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 10, 2020
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
8 forecasters
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
0.5% chance
18
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
15% chance
131