68 comments
218 forecasters
Will Trump attempt to pardon a member of his family?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 21, 2021
Resolved:Jan 29, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 15, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Donald Trump pardon anyone involved in these cases of political violence during his second term?
18 forecasters
Will at least 10 individuals affiliated with the U.S. president receive a presidential pardon or commutation in the following years?
44 forecasters
Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to protect the President, his family, or his allies from a legal case in the following years?
46 forecasters