Question

Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?

Resolved:No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters156

Community Prediction

19%

(12% - 29%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

67.0

Community Peer Score

17.8

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Oct 17, 2017

Closes:

Dec 31, 2019

Resolves:

Mar 21, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 17, 2017

2016-2025 Leaderboard

ESA’s Solar Orbiter Should Solve Mystery Of Sun’s Outermost Atmosphere

Forbes•Jun 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?

28%

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

Will Project Vesta still exist in 2030?

32%

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Oct 17, 2017

Closes:

Dec 31, 2019

Resolves:

Mar 21, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 17, 2017

2016-2025 Leaderboard

ESA’s Solar Orbiter Should Solve Mystery Of Sun’s Outermost Atmosphere

Forbes•Jun 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?

28%

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

Will Project Vesta still exist in 2030?

32%