Question

What will the mean level of transit activity be in the city of Dallas, Texas for the week 2020-11-22 through 2020-11-28?

Resolved:53.32

4 comments4

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction

(56.8 - 61.2)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	<15	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>145
community	0.4%	56.81	59.01	61.24	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<15	0.4%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	56.81	—
median	59.01	—
upper 75%	61.24	—
Upper bound
>145	0.3%	—

What was the final result?53.32

Community Baseline Score

45.3

Community Peer Score

20.0

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners

Opened:

Nov 13, 2020

Closes:

Nov 25, 2020

Resolves:

Nov 29, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 15, 2020

Road To Recovery Tournament

Economy & Business

2020 Leaderboard

What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?

22.8

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

Mar 2041

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%