163 forecasters

Will the US Senate Majority Leader be a Republican on February 1st 2021?

58%chance

58%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 58% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Nov 20, 2020

Closes:

Jan 5, 2021

Resolved:

Feb 7, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 21, 2020

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Geoff Duncan's Chances of Winning Georgia Gubernatorial Race

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2025

Mike Collins Chances of Beating Jon Ossoff in Georgia—Polls

Newsweek•Sep 16, 2025

Georgia Democrat defies odds in Trump country, sparking hope for a political shift

Independent•Sep 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?

Rep Senate / Dem House

Rep Senate / Rep House

Dem Senate / Dem House

Which party will hold a plurality in the US Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?

296 forecasters