Question

Will the UK's second wave reach 1000 deaths/day?

Resolved:Yes

135 comments135

Total Forecasters282

Community Prediction

99%

(95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-48.5

Community Peer Score

22.5

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Nov 20, 2020

Closes:

Jan 12, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 13, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 22, 2020

Health & Pandemics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

815

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%