Question

Will a new variant of SARS-COV-2 that, due to a mutation, can infect people who had immunity to a previous variant, cause more than 10M infections globally by the end of 2021?

Resolved:Yes
44
103
Total Forecasters190
Community Prediction
51%
(45% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 51%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score
18.4
Authors:
Alexander230
Opened:Dec 22, 2020
Closes:Jun 30, 2021
Resolves:Jul 7, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 23, 2020
Health & Pandemics
2016-2025 Leaderboard