Question

Will Andrew Yang run for mayor of New York in 2021?

Resolved:Yes

49 comments49

Total Forecasters94

Community Prediction

99%

(97% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

8.9

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Nov 25, 2020

Closes:

Mar 15, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 15, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 26, 2020

Elections

Politics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Zohran Mamdani's Chances of Beating Cuomo, Adams in NYC Race: Poll

Newsweek•Jul 4, 2025

Mamdani poised for victory as NYC plans release of ranked choice vote tally in mayoral primary

Associated Press•Jul 1, 2025

Andrew Cuomo to stay on ballot for NYC mayor in November general election

USA Today•Jun 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

90%

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Nov 25, 2020

Closes:

Mar 15, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 15, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 26, 2020

Elections

Politics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Zohran Mamdani's Chances of Beating Cuomo, Adams in NYC Race: Poll

Newsweek•Jul 4, 2025

Mamdani poised for victory as NYC plans release of ranked choice vote tally in mayoral primary

Associated Press•Jul 1, 2025

Andrew Cuomo to stay on ballot for NYC mayor in November general election

USA Today•Jun 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

90%

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%