39 comments
78 forecasters
Will AstraZeneca's vaccine turn out to be significantly more effective with a 1.5 dose compared to 2 full doses?
38%chance
Ambiguous
The community gave this a 38% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 25, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2020
Resolved:Mar 17, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 26, 2020
Will the study of oral rehydration solution and zinc distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in ORS/zinc usage by the recipients?
90% chance
56
Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?
5% chance
44
Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?
18 forecasters