Question

What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in January 2021?

Resolved:856.5k
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction
815k
(749k - >900k)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<300k0.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%748.6k
median815k
upper 75%>900k
Upper bound
>900k26.0%

What was the final result?856.5k

Community Baseline Score
-17.8
Community Peer Score
24.6
Authors:
Opened:Nov 26, 2020
Closes:Jan 15, 2021
Resolves:Feb 22, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2020