Question
When will the first clone of a prominent historical figure be born?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
2111
(2079 - >2150)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2079 | — |
| median | 2111 | — |
| upper 75% | >2150 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2150 | 38.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 30, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2150
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 2, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Nov 30, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2150
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 2, 2020