53 comments
255 forecasters
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person?
2%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2020
Closes:Jan 19, 2021
Resolved:Jan 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 6, 2020
Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?
22% chance
51
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
23% chance
52
Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?
32.1% chance
44