Question
How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction
68.9 drugs
(41.6 drugs - 116 drugs)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 41.58 | — |
| median | 68.89 | — |
| upper 75% | 116.4 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1000 | 1.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 8, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Dec 8, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2020