Question

Will the results of the Electoral College be formally challenged in the House in 2021?

Resolved:Yes

33 comments33

Total Forecasters127

Community Prediction

98%

(95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

14.9

Community Baseline Score

36.1

Authors:

PeterWildeford

Opened:

Dec 10, 2020

Closes:

Jan 6, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 6, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 11, 2020

Elections

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

15%

Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

14%

Authors:

PeterWildeford

Opened:

Dec 10, 2020

Closes:

Jan 6, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 6, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 11, 2020

Elections

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

15%

Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

14%