33 comments
127 forecasters
Will the results of the Electoral College be formally challenged in the House in 2021?
98%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 98% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2020
Closes:Jan 6, 2021
Resolved:Jan 6, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2020
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
10% chance
125
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
5 forecasters
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
15% chance
131