Question
Will the results of the Electoral College be formally challenged in the House in 2021?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters127
Community Prediction
98%
(95% - 99%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
36.1
Community Peer Score
14.9
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2020
Closes:Jan 6, 2021
Resolves:Jan 6, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2020
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
5%
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
9%
Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?
16%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2020
Closes:Jan 6, 2021
Resolves:Jan 6, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2020
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
5%
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
9%
Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?
16%