Question
Will the 2024 US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters308
Community Prediction
56%
(50% - 64%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
2.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2020
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolves:Nov 20, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
5%
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
9%
Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?
4.2%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2020
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolves:Nov 20, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
5%
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
9%
Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?
4.2%