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14
273
forecasters
15
14 comments
273 forecasters
Economy & Business
2 more...
Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?
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0.1%
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Date Bezos lands on moon
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4%
chance
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2%
chance
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SpaceX lands stuff on Mars by 2035?
An uncrewed craft
48%
At least one person
4%
At least one person—and return them to Earth
1.6%
Elon Musk
0.1%
98 comments
389 forecasters
Elon Musk Becomes World's First Trillionaire
85%
chance
53 comments
249 forecasters
# people landed on the moon before 2030?
Current estimate
14.7 people
6 comments
111 forecasters
Max no. of people on the moon in 2030
Current estimate
2.61 people