12 comments
36 forecasters
How many papers on AI ethics and algorithmic bias will be published by the end of 2022?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 13, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
70% chance
144
What will the share of high impact AI publications from China be in 2027?
46.6%
(37.4 - 54.9)
46.6%
(37.4 - 54.9)
11 forecasters
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
85% chance
55