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74 forecasters
What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2021-06-14 in top-1 accuracy?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2020
Closes:Feb 13, 2021
Resolved:Jun 15, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 16, 2020
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
78 forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
60.8%
(51.6 - 72.1)
60.8%
(51.6 - 72.1)
47 forecasters
What will be the highest average score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on January 1, 2028?
62.7%
(31.9 - 85.2)
62.7%
(31.9 - 85.2)
94 forecasters