🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2021-06-14?

Resolved :118116
10
11
Total Forecasters61
Community Prediction116 (115 - 119)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>127
...
...
...
...
115.1
116.4
118.6
1.0%

What was the final result?118

Community Baseline Score
29.2
Community Peer Score
3.7
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Forecasting AI Progress
AI Technical Benchmarks
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2020-2021 Leaderboard
ImageNet
Database
History
Culture
Machine learning
Stanford University
Education
Aerospace engineering

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