Question
What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by the end of 2021?
Resolved:820kTotal Forecasters173
Community Prediction
802k
(770k - 838k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 770.3k | — |
| median | 802k | — |
| upper 75% | 838k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1.3M | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?820k
Community Baseline Score
17.9
Community Peer Score
47.0
Authors:
Opened:Dec 12, 2020
Closes:Oct 31, 2021
Resolves:Jan 4, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 14, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Dec 12, 2020
Closes:Oct 31, 2021
Resolves:Jan 4, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 14, 2020