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48 comments
173 forecasters

What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by the end of 2021?

community
802k
result
820k
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:Dec 12, 2020
Closes:Oct 31, 2021
Resolved:Jan 4, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 14, 2020
Economist 2021
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2020-2021 Leaderboard

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

115k deaths/year
(87.1k - 205k)
115k deaths/year
(87.1k - 205k)
87 forecasters

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

32.7k deaths
(23.2k - 64.8k)
32.7k deaths
(23.2k - 64.8k)
71 forecasters

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

1863 cases
(1633 - >2000)
1863 cases
(1633 - >2000)
87 forecasters
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