Question

How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021?

Resolved:3

33 comments33

Total Forecasters123

Community Prediction

(2.96 - 3.06)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>6
community	2.956	3.005	3.058	0.4%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2.956	—
median	3.005	—
upper 75%	3.058	—
Upper bound
>6	0.4%	—

What was the final result?3

Community Baseline Score

60.2

Community Peer Score

104.6

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Dec 12, 2020

Closes:

Jun 26, 2021

Resolves:

Jun 28, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 14, 2020

Economist 2021

Health & Pandemics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

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