Question

How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021?

Resolved :3

33 comments33

Total Forecasters123

Community Prediction3

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2.956

3.005

3.058

0.4%

What was the final result?3

Community Baseline Score

60.2

Community Peer Score

104.6

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Emergency Use Authorization

Food and Drug Administration

Moderna

COVID-19 vaccine

Novavax

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

7.99

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

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