Question

Will the U.S. Affordable Care Act be expanded to include a public option before the end of 2021?

Resolved:No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction

(1% - 4%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

81.4

Community Peer Score

13.3

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Dec 12, 2020

Closes:

Oct 31, 2021

Resolves:

Dec 29, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 13, 2020

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Will the Affordable Care Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?

30%

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

20%