156 forecasters

Will the S&P 500 experience a bear market (peak to trough decline of 20% or more) in 2021?

7%chance

7%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 7% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Dec 12, 2020

Closes:

Oct 31, 2021

Resolved:

Dec 31, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 12, 2020

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

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