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Bear market in S&P 500 in 2021

Trustworthy News Economist 2021

Question

The S&P 500 has recently closed at new record highs as part of a sustained recovery that follows a 34% bear market in March/April 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Market analysts have questioned how long the ongoing bullish market run will continue.

Will the S&P 500 experience a bear market (peak to trough decline of 20% or more)?

This will resolve on the basis of whether the S&P 500 experiences a bear market in 2021, defined here as when prices in the market decline by 20% or more. Such a fall can occur over a short time or extended period of time.

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