🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the U.S. in 2021?

Resolved :Ambiguous492k
12
21
Total Forecasters72
Community Prediction492k (418k - 559k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>600k
...
...
...
...
417.9k
492k
559.4k
14.8%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economist 2021
Economy & Business
Technology
2020-2021 Leaderboard
Plug-in electric vehicle
Nio
NIO (car company)
Tesla
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
United States
US Department of Energy
Plug-in electric vehicles in the United States
Automotive industry

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