12 comments
50 forecasters
When will 1bn people have been vaccinated with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >60% in a n>500 RCT?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2020
Closes:Jun 1, 2021
Resolved:Feb 25, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 16, 2020