Question
What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q4 of 2030?
Total Forecasters84
Community Prediction
6.13
(4.4 - 8.48)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 4.396 | — |
| median | 6.132 | — |
| upper 75% | 8.479 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15 | 6.7% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2020
Closed:Feb 13, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 17, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What percentage of Americans will consider AI or advancement of computers/technology to be the most important problem in January 2028?
8.51
What percent of US GDP will come from manufacturing in the first half of 2028?
9.78
What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?
1691
Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2020
Closed:Feb 13, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 17, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What percentage of Americans will consider AI or advancement of computers/technology to be the most important problem in January 2028?
8.51
What percent of US GDP will come from manufacturing in the first half of 2028?
9.78
What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?
1691