11 comments
77 forecasters
How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?
Latest estimate
>50k
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2020
Closed:Feb 13, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 16, 2020
How many scientific journal articles will be published in the following years?
5 forecasters
When will the fraction of English books that mention "Deep Learning" peak, over the 2021 to 2045 period (inclusive)?
26 Mar 2030
(17 May 2026 - Apr 2033)
26 Mar 2030
(17 May 2026 - Apr 2033)
16 forecasters
Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
70% chance
134