Question
What will be the average percentage change in property and casualty insurance premiums in Q1 2022?
Resolved:8.6Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
9.09
(7.81 - 10.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0 | 0.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 7.806 | — |
| median | 9.092 | — |
| upper 75% | 10.37 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >20 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?8.6
Community Baseline Score
56.1
Community Peer Score
10.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2020
Closes:Feb 28, 2022
Resolves:May 25, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 22, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2020
Closes:Feb 28, 2022
Resolves:May 25, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 22, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch