Question

Will Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech, or Oxford/AstraZeneca start producing an updated vaccine targeting a SARS-CoV-2 variant before 2023?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters124
Community Prediction
99%
(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
7.4
Community Peer Score
1.3
Authors:
Opened:Dec 21, 2020
Closes:Aug 31, 2022
Resolves:Aug 31, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 22, 2020