124 forecasters

Will Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech, or Oxford/AstraZeneca start producing an updated vaccine targeting a SARS-CoV-2 variant before 2023?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 21, 2020

Closes:

Aug 31, 2022

Resolved:

Feb 25, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 22, 2020

Economy & Business

Health & Pandemics

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