Question

Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2025?

Resolved:Yes

10 comments10

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction

90%

(77.6% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

23.7

Community Peer Score

5.9

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Dec 30, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2021

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series

2016-2025 Leaderboard

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

19 Sep 2027

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Dec 30, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2021

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series

2016-2025 Leaderboard

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

19 Sep 2027

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%