32 comments
118 forecasters
Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?
80%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 80% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 29, 2020
Closes:Dec 9, 2024
Resolved:Dec 12, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2020
Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year?
65% chance
43
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40% chance
82
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
53% chance
135