Question

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

Resolved:Yes

32 comments32

Total Forecasters118

Community Prediction

80%

(72% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

10.4

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Dec 29, 2020

Closes:

Dec 9, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 13, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2020

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

45%

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57%

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

4.2%