Question
What percentage of the US federal budget will be used for Medicare in 2024?
Resolved:16.3Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
15.9
(15.3 - 16.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10 | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 15.26 | — |
| median | 15.88 | — |
| upper 75% | 16.38 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >20 | 0.4% | — |
What was the final result?16.3
Community Baseline Score
36.8
Community Peer Score
10.0
Authors:
Opened:Dec 31, 2020
Closes:Feb 28, 2025
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Dec 31, 2020
Closes:Feb 28, 2025
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2021