Question

When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?

Resolved:Above upper bound

49 comments49

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction

>31 Dec 2021 00:00

(>31 Dec 2021 00:00 - >31 Dec 2021 00:00)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>31 Dec 2021 00:00
community	>31 Dec 2021 00:00	>31 Dec 2021 00:00	>31 Dec 2021 00:00	86.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	>31 Dec 2021 00:00	—
median	>31 Dec 2021 00:00	—
upper 75%	>31 Dec 2021 00:00	—
Upper bound
>31 Dec 2021 00:00	86.5%	—

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

80.1

Community Peer Score

101.7

Authors:

ethulin

Opened:

Jan 7, 2021

Closes:

Dec 5, 2021

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 9, 2021

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