Question
How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
1.74 logMAR
(1.19 logMAR - 2.47 logMAR)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-0.5 | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.186 | — |
| median | 1.742 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.467 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2.5 | 24.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2021
