Question
When will the number of US oil rigs exceed 1000?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters20
Community Prediction
02 Jun 2024
(01 Jun 2023 - >28 Jan 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <08 Feb 2021 | 0.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 01 Jun 2023 | — |
| median | 02 Jun 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | >28 Jan 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >28 Jan 2025 | 36.9% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
16.7
Community Peer Score
59.4
Authors:
Opened:Feb 21, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 23, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Feb 21, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 23, 2021