Question
What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2022-01-14, in perplexity?
Resolved:20.25Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction
21.4
(20.8 - 21.6)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <14 | 0.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 20.78 | — |
| median | 21.39 | — |
| upper 75% | 21.59 | — |
What was the final result?20.25
Community Baseline Score
12.7
Community Peer Score
36.5
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closes:Mar 14, 2021
Resolves:Mar 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closes:Mar 14, 2021
Resolves:Mar 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2021