Question

What will be the percent of B.1.1.7 among all S gene dropout SARS-CoV-2 samples submitted for genomic sequencing surveillance in the US between 2021-02-01 and 2021-02-15?

Resolved:48.5
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction
85.4
(73.5 - 92.8)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%73.47
median85.41
upper 75%92.83

What was the final result?48.5

Community Baseline Score
-70.7
Community Peer Score
53.8
Authors:
Opened:Jan 6, 2021
Closes:Jan 16, 2021
Resolves:Mar 11, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 8, 2021