Profile
Save
Username
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- February 1, 2020
Bio
Website
{{err}}
Metaculus Supporter
Supporter Since
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
Change your username
Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons
You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.
Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.
Forecaster Stats
Level
12 (Prophet)
Predictions
753 predictions on 261 questions (194 resolved)
Comments
277 comments on 104 questions
Rank
108th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
724 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (4)
- Biological Sciences – General (1)
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (1)
- Biological Sciences – Medicine (1)
- Politics – US (1)
Popular Questions
- Before 2023, will the United States CDC recommend that those who have already been vaccinated for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) be vaccinated again due to a mutation in the virus? (592 forecasts)
- Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031? (564 forecasts)
- Will the border conflict between India and China escalate to a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives before 2021? (287 forecasts)
- Will at least 500 Indians die in clashes along the border with the Chinese military before 2021? (119 forecasts)
- Will the border conflict between India and China result in a death before 2021? (40 forecasts)