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34 forecasters
What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2022-01-14 in accuracy?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closes:Mar 13, 2021
Resolved:Mar 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2021
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
78 forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
60.8%
(51.6 - 72.1)
60.8%
(51.6 - 72.1)
47 forecasters
What will be the highest average score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on January 1, 2028?
62.7%
(31.9 - 85.2)
62.7%
(31.9 - 85.2)
94 forecasters