🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many people in the UK will have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by 15th February?

Resolved :15.6M16.2M
13
25
Total Forecasters94
Community Prediction16.2M (14.9M - 17.7M)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<5M
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>25M
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
14.92M
16.23M
17.65M
0.6%

What was the final result?15.6M

Community Baseline Score
56.5
Community Peer Score
22.1
Authors:
isaacdunn
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
COVID-19
United Kingdom
COVID-19 vaccine
Public health
Medicine
Immunology
Virology

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