25 comments
94 forecasters
How many people in the UK will have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by 15th February?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 19, 2021
Closes:Feb 1, 2021
Resolved:Feb 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 20, 2021
Will NHS England deliver an extra two million operations, scans, and appointments each year within the current Westminster parliament?
78% chance
6
When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?
23 Oct 2028
(14 Feb 2026 - Oct 2033)
23 Oct 2028
(14 Feb 2026 - Oct 2033)
48 forecasters
What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?
815 per 100,000
(590 - 1025)
815 per 100,000
(590 - 1025)
9 forecasters