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5 comments
36 forecasters

What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2022-01-14?

community
39.2
result
38.35
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closes:Mar 13, 2021
Resolved:Jan 19, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2021
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What will be the sector weighting of the Technology and Communication Services Sector in the S&P 500 on January 1, 2027?

0.514%
(0.415 - >0.7)
0.514%
(0.415 - >0.7)
5 forecasters

What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?

1691%
(346 - 10.6k)
1691%
(346 - 10.6k)
27 forecasters

What percentage of Americans will consider AI or advancement of computers/technology to be the most important problem in January 2028?

18 % mentioning
(9 - 35)
18 % mentioning
(9 - 35)
146 forecasters
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