47 comments
152 forecasters
Will none of Trump's immediate family be indicted in 2021?
57%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 57% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2021
Closes:Jun 1, 2021
Resolved:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 19, 2021
Will the Department of Justice indict a high-profile individual from the opposing party to the U.S. president in the following years?
44 forecasters
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
01 Oct 2029
(16 Nov 2027 - 18 Nov 2029)
01 Oct 2029
(16 Nov 2027 - 18 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters
Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?
7% chance
168